Pakistan and its Democracy:
An Open Letter to Prime Minister Imran Khan
By Shakil A Rai
Dear Mr. Prime
Minister,
The truth is
known, but must not be spoken in order to avoid the inevitable conflagration.
Your ascension to the high office has been made possible through a
controversial election. The four-year long campaign, preceding this election is
also well known and well documented. But we have little time to settle scores
and do to your government what you and your faceless sponsors did to the
previous one.
Stability and respect for
the vote is paramount. So, we pledge full support to your government and hope
you deliver on your promises and successfully face the serious economic,
social, political, and challenges ahead. Here are a few suggestions to tackle
the challenges lying ahead.
1-
From now on your
sponsors are not coming to you rescue. Instead they will come with more and
more demands to advance their policies. Up to the election time your world view
dovetailed with theirs; now under pressure from the challenges of governance it
will start to diverge, leading to strain and stress. Be prepared for that.
2-
Parliament, the
institution on which you heaped much insult in the past, is the only place
where you may try to find sustainable support to weather the storms ahead. It
will not be easy to cultivate enough good will to turn it into support against
the non-parliamentary forces, but you have no other option, if you want to
succeed.
3-
The Opposition
has cried foul in unison right from the day one of the election. It is
important to listen to their grievances, real or imaginary. This will establish
your legitimacy and cement your authority.
4-
The judiciary
and the military have been the traditional neutral brokers among feuding
politicians. This election has made both of them complicit in the alleged
manipulation and rigging of the electoral process. Ironically this lends
strength to the parliament. Please endorse the demand of the opposition that
the Senate should hold open and full inquiry into the election.
5-
The so-called
Bajwa Doctrine is primarily aimed at undoing, or at least scuttling the
implementation of the provisions of the 18th Constitutional
amendment. It empowered the provinces more than the advocates of strong Central
government would countenance. It was a consensus driven amendment; undoing it
through legal means is virtually impossible. Scuttling its implementation will
generate resentment against the Center among the provinces, especially the
smaller ones. For the sake of the Federation and your survival stay away from
it. Instead make sure to implement it fully.
6-
This calls for
the Eighth National Finance Commission Award, which is now overdue. The
advocates of strong Central government are there among the non-democratic
forces and do not like the idea. The PMLN government failed to deliver the
Award, and PTI cannot afford to dither and delay. Instead the new government
needs to work on capacity building among the federating units to fully utilize
the Award. NFC Award necessitates consensus among the Center and the provinces.
To achieve this consensus the ruling party has to negotiate with the Opposition,
and the provinces.
7-
Therefore, no
more solo flights, and please rid yourself of the notion that you are the only
one who can solve all the problems. Reach across the aisle and demonstrate to
the opposition and public that you are ready to take all democratic forces on
board. If the opposition comes aboard it will establish your leadership beyond
doubt. If they balk you still win in the eyes of the general public. The old
ways of humiliating and insulting your political opponents will harm you more
than anyone else.
8-
Pakistan’s
economic woes are perennial, and woven into the structure of the economy.
Without meaningful structural reforms there is no end to repeated requests for
bailout money. Saudi Arabia, China, and IMF have been our traditional lenders
of choice. We have been to the IMF for twenty-one times since 1958, and are now
ready one more time to request yet another bailout. The Fund like any other
money lender is not known for its generosity and kindness. They offer the
lowest interest rate but put tough conditions to disburse the loan. Most likely
the Fund would demand privatization of loss making state enterprises like PIA
and PSM. They would demand substantial reduction in subsidies the government
now provides. Increase in tax collection can be another demand. The US happens
to be the biggest contributor to the IMF money wants to make sure we do not use
their money to pay off Chinese debt. Really tough demands on a political
government, but we have little room to maneuver.
9-
It’s unrealistic
to think of a Welfare State, Islamic or otherwise, when you are living on
borrowed money. Unless we undertake structural reforms these bailouts will
always be temporary relief measures. Before we can have our promised Welfare
State we have to make enough money to have surplus cash in hand to disburse to
the needy. We have to have sufficiently tough tax regime and close loop holes
in the tax code to increase tax revenue. In a country where only 1% people pay
taxes solvency, let alone prosperity, will remain a distant dream. Conversely
we have to offer tax breaks and other incentives to foreign and local investors.
Not an easy situation for anyone.
10- Have your
plans ready to privatize the PIA and the PSM before you go to IMF. You are a
tough athlete, and a team leader, both these qualities have to come in full
display to ensure success for you and the country.
Good
luck Mr. Prime Minister we stand united behind your leadership for the sake of
democracy and the Republic.